Highest temperature in Austin on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 15?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 15?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 15?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 15?55¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 15?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 15?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 110°F or higher on August 15?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 15 project a high near 100°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology in central Texas favors daily maxima of 98-102°F amid peak solar insolation and minimal frontal activity, as evidenced by recent observations of 100-102°F highs and sustained heat indices above 105°F. Model consensus shows low chance of significant cloud cover or precipitation that could suppress temperatures, keeping the distribution centered on 100-103°F while assigning modest odds to cooler or hotter outliers.