- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 8?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 8?66¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 8?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 8?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and UK Met Office indicate a daytime high near 24°C in Ankara on September 8, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a post-frontal air mass following cooler conditions on the 7th. Recent observations show temperatures peaking around 20–25°C amid seasonal September variability, with low humidity and minimal cloud cover supporting efficient daytime heating without exceeding typical late-summer norms. Ensemble consensus places the most probable maximum in the 23–25°C range, consistent with historical baselines for early September in central Anatolia. Updated model runs or surface observations tomorrow morning represent the key data releases that could refine these market-implied probabilities.