- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 6?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 6?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 6?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 6?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 6?53¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 6?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on September 6?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus and official forecasts point to clear, sunny skies and light northerly winds over Ankara on September 6, supporting strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover or moisture that would otherwise limit temperature rise. With dew points in the low teens Celsius and relative humidity dropping below 30% during peak afternoon hours, conditions favor efficient surface warming under a stable high-pressure pattern typical for early September in the Anatolian plateau. Recent days have seen highs of 29–30°C, placing the current setup slightly above seasonal norms of around 27°C. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 53% implied probability for a 32°C peak, with 31°C close behind at 34% and only modest odds on 33°C or higher, consistent with the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of final observations.