- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 5?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 5?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 5?59¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 5?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 5?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international agencies show Ankara under stable high pressure on September 5, with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover favoring daytime heating to a maximum near 29°C. This aligns with early-September climatology for the region's continental climate, where clear skies and moderate humidity typically produce highs of 27–30°C. Recent model runs exhibit tight consensus around 28–30°C, with limited spread due to the absence of frontal systems or moisture advection that could alter the thermal profile. Market-implied odds reflect this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 29°C while discounting outliers below 27°C or above 31°C absent any sudden forecast shifts.