- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 2?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 2?51¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 2?39¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 2?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 2?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from official sources such as Turkey’s Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) and international providers converge on a daytime high of 30–31 °C for Ankara on 2 September 2026 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 26–29 °C, driven by persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. Dew points in the low teens °C and low humidity (around 20–40 % during peak heating) support efficient daytime warming without significant evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show little spread, with most guidance holding the maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C; any upward or downward revision would hinge on small changes in cloud timing or wind speed on the day itself. The market-implied probabilities—roughly 90 % combined on 30 °C or 31 °C—align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and the absence of incoming weather systems that could alter the thermal profile.