- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 31?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 31?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 31?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 31?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 31?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 31?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C or higher on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on August 31?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast uncertainty between 28°C and 29°C drives the tight 44.5–46% split in trader sentiment for Ankara’s August 31 maximum temperature. Short-range models show minor differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and a weak high-pressure ridge that could either allow brief clearing and extra solar heating or maintain scattered stratiform clouds to cap readings. Historical late-August climatology places normal highs near 29°C, yet recent ECMWF and GFS runs have oscillated around this threshold with ensemble spreads of 1–2°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service observations and final verification will resolve the market, underscoring how small synoptic and radiative changes can separate the two leading outcomes.