- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on August 29?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on August 29?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on August 29?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on August 29?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on August 29?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 29?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 29?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies converge on a daytime maximum of 23–24 °C for Ankara on 29 August, reflecting a 3–5 °C drop driven by northerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits solar heating. Models show scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, further capping peak temperatures near the 23 °C threshold. This consensus—supported by hourly guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles—positions 23 °C and 24 °C as the clear market leaders at 35.5 % and 22.5 % implied probability, respectively, while the modest probability mass on 22 °C captures residual uncertainty in timing and intensity of any precipitation. Traders are weighting the latest model runs ahead of the day’s official observations.