- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 27?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 27?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 27?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 27?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C or higher on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles show Ankara under persistent high pressure on August 27, with clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and light northerly winds promoting strong daytime radiative heating. This setup supports afternoon maxima clustered around 32–33°C, near or slightly above late-August climatology for the region. The near-even market split between these two outcomes reflects minor model differences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than any major synoptic shift, while probabilities for 31°C or 34°C remain low absent unexpected moisture advection or wind changes. Official station measurements will resolve the exact threshold.