- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 26?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 26?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 26?61¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 26?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 26?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions will allow maximum temperatures in Ankara to reach 32–33 °C on August 26, aligning with late-summer continental norms for the region. Official guidance places the daytime high near 32 °C under stable high pressure, with limited cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk supporting efficient daytime heating. Ensemble consensus shows little spread around this range, though minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or slight advection shifts could nudge readings a degree higher or lower. Market-implied odds heavily favor 33 °C as the peak, reflecting trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow uncertainty window before resolution.