- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 24?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 24?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?65¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 24?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high of 33°C for Ankara on August 24, 2026, with overnight lows near 17°C under sunny, dry conditions. This aligns closely with the market-implied probabilities, where 32°C leads at 64% and 33°C follows at 19.5%, reflecting trader consensus on the most likely maximum temperature range. Ankara’s continental climate features a seasonal decline in highs during late August, typically averaging 29–32°C as solar insolation decreases and cooler air masses influence the region. Current model runs show stable high pressure promoting clear skies and minimal cloud cover, which supports efficient daytime heating without significant moisture or precipitation to moderate temperatures. No active heatwave or anomalous warming is indicated, keeping extremes above 35°C at low probability (under 1% combined). Key resolution factors include the official station measurement of the daily maximum, with minor forecast spreads (32–34°C) explaining the concentration of probability mass. Updated model guidance or surface observations on August 23–24 could refine these odds as the event approaches.