- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 22?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 22?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 22?52¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 22?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 22?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 39°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 40°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 34–35°C as the most probable maximum temperature in Ankara on August 22, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating. Recent agency guidance, including runs from the Met Office and BBC, indicates highs near 34–35°C with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with late-summer climatology where Ankara typically sees peaks around 30–32°C but can exceed this under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader sentiment, reflected in the dominant 51.5% and 40% implied probabilities for 34°C and 35°C, incorporates model agreement on these thresholds while noting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from observational adjustments or boundary-layer variations ahead of final verification.