This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts and real-time observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models position Ankara's August 13 maximum at 30°C under sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical summer subsidence patterns that suppress cloud cover and limit further warming. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet today's stable high-pressure regime and observed afternoon readings around 30–32°C support the tight market consensus. Trader positioning reflects this alignment between official guidance and in-situ data, with the 100% implied probability on 30°C underscoring low forecast uncertainty. A late-day thermal spike, station-specific microclimate effects, or revised post-analysis measurements could still shift the recorded high.