- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 29?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 29?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 29?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 29?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 29?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic is moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam, with official forecasts from multiple models converging on a maximum of 22°C for August 29 amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This pattern, driven by a broad low-pressure influence and winds of 15–25 km/h, aligns with the market's strong consensus on 22°C (46.5% implied probability) and 23°C (36.5%), as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation compared to the hotter early-August conditions. Historical late-summer baselines near 20–21°C further support these outcomes, while any model shift toward clearer skies could briefly push readings higher before resolution.