- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 25?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 25?63¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 25?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest official forecasts from multiple models converge on a daytime high of 24–26°C in Amsterdam on August 25 under clear skies and easterly winds of 10–15 mph, with negligible precipitation risk. This positions 25°C as the market leader at 64% implied probability, reflecting the consensus maximum near the upper end of typical late-August climatology (around 20–22°C average highs). Recent model runs show minimal spread, supporting the combined 82.5% probability on 24–26°C outcomes, while drier conditions and stable high pressure reduce chances of cooler or warmer deviations. Updated guidance overnight will refine the precise peak as diurnal heating peaks in the afternoon.