Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 17?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 17?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 17?59¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 17?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office currently indicate a maximum of 21°C for Amsterdam on August 17, driven by moderate Atlantic airflow, increasing cloud cover, and limited solar heating under typical mid-August conditions in the North Sea region. This aligns with historical climatology showing average August highs near 21–22°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (58.5%) and 20°C (30%). Minor model spread allows limited probability for 22°C, while cooler or warmer extremes remain improbable absent rapid shifts in steering patterns or unexpected clear skies. Updated numerical weather predictions and observational data from the next 24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.