Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 14?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 14?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 14?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 38°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast guidance from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicates a peak of 32–34 °C in Amsterdam on 14 August under a blocking high-pressure ridge that advects warm continental air northward with minimal cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Model spread centers on whether maximum temperatures reach the upper or lower end of that range, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and the exact timing of peak insolation relative to the urban heat-island effect around Schiphol and central Amsterdam. With surface observations already approaching 32 °C on 13 August and no significant frontal passage expected, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting both ensemble consensus and the narrow margin separating those thresholds. Updated model runs and midday observations on 14 August will provide the final data for market resolution.