- Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on August 31, 2026?4¢
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?7¢
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?30¢
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?37¢
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?24¢
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on August 31, 2026?10¢
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for August 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Recent supply constraints and steady AI demand have anchored B200 on-demand rates near the $6.50–$7.00 range across neocloud providers as of late August 2026. Reference data from CCIR and aggregator sites show neocloud medians at approximately $6.69 per GPU-hour on guaranteed on-demand terms, with marketplaces slightly lower around $6.38 and hyperscalers (AWS, Oracle) remaining far higher at $14+. This distribution keeps the Polymarket’s two leading bins closely matched, reflecting trader focus on the liquid mid-tier segment rather than outlier enterprise or spot pricing. Key dynamics include ongoing allocation tightness for the 180 GB HBM3e Blackwell parts, launched in early 2025, alongside competitive pressure from providers such as Lambda, CoreWeave, Nebius, and RunPod that set the effective street rate. Newer B300 capacity trades at a modest premium (~$7.50), while interruptible/spot offerings sit well below $4, creating clear segmentation. No large-scale supply surge has materialized in the past month, and median on-demand prices have held firm or edged higher year-over-year, supporting the current market-implied odds around the $6–$7.50 cluster. Upcoming month-end reporting on capacity utilization and any fresh neocloud listings will likely determine whether the balance tips toward the $6.00–$6.50 or $6.50–$7.00 outcome.