- Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?2¢
- Will Ernesto Roller win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?3¢
- Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?20¢
- Will Guilherme Darques win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?<1¢
- Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?43¢
- Will Gustavo Mendanha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?14¢
- Will Isaura Lemos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?<1¢
- Will Iure Castro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?14¢
- Will Oséias Varão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?2¢
- Will Vanderlan Cardoso win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?5¢
- Will Cintia Dias win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?4¢
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Recent polling from mid-August places Gracinha Caiado comfortably ahead for one Senate seat in Goiás while Gustavo Gayer holds a solid position for the second, supported by his PL base and federal deputy profile. This dynamic has elevated Gayer’s implied probability for finishing second above other contenders, including Vanderlan Cardoso, Gustavo Mendanha, and Zacharias Calil, whose lower readings reflect narrower paths amid divided opposition votes. Name recognition tied to the Caiado family’s União Brasil structure continues to shape first-place expectations, leaving the second spot more contested and sensitive to turnout among center-right and conservative blocs. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, convention alignments, or late-campaign shifts before the October vote.