This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Gianni Infantino faces mounting internal opposition over his scrapped plan to sell a minority stake in FIFA's commercial operations, prompting withdrawals of support from several European and other federations ahead of the March 2027 presidential vote. Yet his position remains secure through the end of 2026, as the next election cycle lies months away and he retains strong backing from confederations such as CAF, alongside recent momentum from the record-breaking 48-team 2026 World Cup. Member associations continue to affirm his democratic mandate under FIFA statutes, while external political endorsements have further stabilized his leadership amid the governance disputes. Trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" reflects the absence of any mechanism for swift removal before year-end, despite the competitive re-election environment shaping up for 2027.