Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
- Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?75¢
- Will Byron Donalds finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
- Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
- Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?26¢
- Will Jim Holcomb finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
- Will Arthur Joseph McCaffrey finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
- Will Daniel Nokovich finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
- Will Rachel Rodriguez finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
- Will James Walker Shaw finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
- Will Caneste Succe finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
- Will Bobby Williams finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Jay Collins leads trader consensus for second place in Florida's August 18 Republican primary for governor at 74.5 percent, ahead of James Fishback at 25.5 percent, as the sitting lieutenant governor benefits from statewide name recognition, a military record, and ties to the prior administration while positioning himself as the main alternative to frontrunner Byron Donalds. Fishback remains competitive after a July court ruling upheld his ballot eligibility against a residency challenge, though his insurgent campaign has not closed the gap in recent polling or fundraising. Other listed candidates, including Byron Donalds and Paul Renner, register negligible probabilities for second because Donalds holds a commanding lead for the nomination and lower-profile entrants lack comparable organizational strength or voter visibility this close to the primary.