FL-27 Democratic Primary Winner
- Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?18¢
- Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?77¢
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Eliott Rodriguez holds a strong lead in the Florida 27th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for August 18, 2026, driven by his established name recognition as a former CBS Miami anchor and consistent polling advantages. Recent surveys, including an internal poll from his campaign, show him ahead of prosecutor Robin Peguero by roughly 26 points, with support clearing 50 percent in some samples. Peguero maintains an edge in fundraising totals exceeding $1 million, yet Rodriguez's visibility in a district trending Republican has consolidated trader expectations around his nomination prospects. The two-candidate contest features limited outside spending or major endorsements shifting momentum in the final days before voting.