FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
- Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?<1¢
- Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?<1¢
- Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?8¢
- Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?59¢
- Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?<1¢
- Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?33¢
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Catalina Lauf holds the strongest position in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s open 19th congressional district, driven by recent endorsements from sitting House Republicans including Kat Cammack, Greg Steube, and Anna Paulina Luna, plus a late August poll showing her ahead of the field with substantial undecided voters. Jim Schwartzel trails as the closest competitor on name recognition and resources in the crowded ten-candidate contest to replace Byron Donalds, while Jim Oberweis maintains a smaller but measurable share. Madison Cawthorn and the remaining entrants register minimal support. Fundraising disclosures, local connections, and the short timeline to primary day continue to shape trader assessments of the frontrunner’s path.