FL-06 Democratic Primary Winner
- Will Robert Cooper be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?<1¢
- Will Steve Morgan be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?<1¢
- Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?10¢
- Will Eric Yonce be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?87¢
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Eric Yonce holds a commanding position in the FL-06 Democratic primary, driven by his substantial fundraising edge—over $325,000 raised through late July compared to far lower totals for rivals Robert Cooper II, Steve Morgan, and Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera. This financial advantage, combined with his local roots, public service background in EMS and law enforcement, and visibility from a July debate, has consolidated trader consensus around his nomination on August 18. The closely timed primary leaves limited room for late shifts, though any unexpected turnout or endorsements could still influence final vote shares in this open-seat contest.