- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?43¢43%
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?21¢21%
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?17¢17%
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?9¢9%
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?7¢7%
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?6¢6%
- Will Yuki Tsunoda get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?4¢4%
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?2¢2%
- Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?1¢1%
- Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?1¢1%
- Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?1¢1%
- Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?1¢1%
Verstappen holds the strongest implied probability for United States Grand Prix pole position due to Red Bull’s recent resurgence, including back-to-back victories and strong single-lap pace in FP1 at Circuit of the Americas. Leclerc’s Ferrari topped both Friday practice sessions with the fastest theoretical best lap, positioning the team as a genuine threat on a track that rewards balanced cornering and braking performance. Antonelli remains within striking distance after setting the second-quickest time in FP2 despite minor setup issues, reflecting Mercedes’ competitive long-run and qualifying simulation data. These three drivers lead the market consensus because recent form, COTA-specific sector strengths, and head-to-head practice gaps have narrowed the field among Red Bull, Ferrari, and Mercedes while leaving others with larger deficits.
Rules
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.