Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?74¢
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders have priced the 160-179 tweet range at 72.5% implied probability because Elon Musk’s observed posting pace through mid-August has tracked closely to roughly 23–25 posts per day, consistent with his established baseline activity on X. Recent single-day counts, such as 41 posts on August 9, have reinforced this band without pushing the total into higher brackets. No major product launches, regulatory announcements, or viral controversies have materialized in the past week to accelerate volume, keeping momentum away from the 180–199 tier at 13.5%. With the window closing on August 14, the market reflects real-time tracker data rather than speculation, underscoring how routine engagement patterns dominate resolution odds in these high-frequency celebrity posting contracts.