- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?27¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?40¢
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?23¢
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?11¢
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders see 40-64 tweets as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s X activity over the August 22-24 weekend because no major company announcements, regulatory developments, or public controversies are scheduled to spike posting volume. Recent days show steady but not frantic output tied to routine SpaceX Starship updates and Tesla commentary, consistent with mid-range daily averages when Musk is not in active campaign or earnings mode. A planned Starlink launch on the 24th could generate a modest uptick in replies and commentary, yet historical patterns indicate weekend activity rarely exceeds low-20s posts per day absent breaking news. Broader market-implied odds reflect this baseline expectation, with higher bins priced as low-probability tail events that would require an unexpected viral moment or personal statement to materialize.