This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk's August 2026 tweet volume market shows tight clustering around 800-919 tweets as traders price in his historically high but variable posting rate amid ongoing business and public activity. Daily output has fluctuated with Tesla and xAI developments, regulatory news, and platform engagement on X, where he remains the most active major account. With roughly half the month elapsed, momentum depends on whether upcoming product updates or external events accelerate or slow his cadence. Precedent from prior months shows he can exceed 30 tweets daily during high-interest periods yet drop below 20 amid travel or focused work, keeping multiple buckets within a few percentage points.