- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?46¢
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?11¢
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?3¢
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?13¢
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?30¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear leader because Elon Musk’s recent baseline activity hovers around 15-20 posts daily when no major launches or controversies dominate his feed. The three-day window falls mid-week into the weekend, a period that historically shows moderated volume absent breaking company news. SpaceX’s scheduled Starlink missions around August 20 offer a modest catalyst that could nudge totals higher, yet nothing on the scale of a product unveil or earnings call appears imminent to push into the 90-plus buckets. Market-implied odds reflect this steady-state expectation, with the 65-89 range as a plausible upside if routine Tesla or xAI commentary spikes engagement.