Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?12¢
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?56¢
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?28¢
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?5¢
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?<1¢
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 13 12:00 PM ET to August 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Recent daily posting data shows Elon Musk averaging roughly 20 tweets per day in early August 2026, establishing the primary driver behind the 56% implied probability for the 40-64 range over the three-day window. Trader consensus reflects his established pattern of moderate activity absent major company announcements, product launches, or high-profile controversies that historically spike volume. With no verified catalysts such as Tesla events or regulatory developments surfacing in the immediate period, markets price in steady engagement levels rather than outliers. The 26% probability on 65-89 accounts for potential upticks from routine replies or news cycles, while lower buckets capture the tail risk of unusually quiet stretches. Upcoming chart updates and any weekend news flow remain the key swing factors for these skin-in-the-game odds.