This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Recent volatility in SpaceX's post-IPO valuation and Tesla's stock price (hovering near $330–340 amid EV competition and robotaxi/Optimus expectations) has left trader sentiment divided on Musk's August 31 net worth. SpaceX's sharp June–July decline from peak levels above $1T erased hundreds of billions, while Tesla's swings and insider share unlocks add near-term uncertainty. The tight spread across $800B–$1T+ ranges reflects these dynamics, with upside hinging on sustained AI and autonomous driving momentum at Tesla or xAI integration gains, and downside risks from broader tech selloffs or regulatory pressures on valuation multiples.