This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trump's Truth Social activity in mid-August 2026 centers on his established posting patterns as president, with historical daily averages ranging from 18 in 2025 to spikes near 27 during active months like May 2026. The current market spread across 140-200+ posts for the eight-day window reflects this baseline variability, tempered by a relatively light public schedule at Bedminster focused on golf and routine White House coordination. Recent platform traffic declines have not altered output volume, but traders weigh potential catalysts such as policy announcements, economic updates, or diplomatic statements that historically drive higher engagement. Quiet intervals without major developments could anchor totals near the middle ranges, while breaking events or extended sessions could push toward the upper bins.