Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?5¢
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?12¢
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?<1¢
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?27¢
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?25¢
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?23¢
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trump's Truth Social activity in mid-August 2026 reflects a baseline posting rate near 18 per day from 2025 data, producing weekly totals clustered around 120-180, with spikes driven by policy announcements, international developments such as the Iran conflict, or domestic grievances. The tight clustering of trader probabilities around the 160-179, 180-199, and 200+ bins stems from this established cadence combined with recent high-volume bursts, offset by summer traffic declines on the platform and the early-August launch of a paid early-access feed that has drawn legal challenges. Traders weigh the potential for event-driven surges—such as tariff updates, court-related commentary, or administration priorities—against steadier output during routine periods. Separation among leading outcomes could emerge from verifiable catalysts including legislative milestones, diplomatic statements, or sudden news cycles within the resolution window, as these have historically triggered measurable increases in daily volume.