Clacton by-election Winner
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?>99¢
- Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Pamela Walford win the Clacton by-election?<1¢
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Farage's commanding position in the Clacton by-election stems from his status as the sitting Reform UK MP who triggered the contest by resigning his seat in July 2026 to recontest it amid ongoing scrutiny over donations. Major parties boycotted the race, viewing it as a stunt, leaving no mainstream challengers and resulting in a record 34 candidates dominated by independents and fringe figures. This dynamic has produced near-unanimous trader consensus on Farage's victory, consistent with his 2024 general election performance in the constituency. The vote occurs today, with resolution expected shortly after polls close; late shifts remain possible only in the event of unusually low turnout or an unforeseen surge by a novelty candidate such as Count Binface.