Clacton by-election: 2nd place
- Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Natasha Osben get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Tony Mack get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?96¢
- Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Piers Corbyn get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Adham Alkhatip get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
- Will Rees Cowne get second place in the Clacton by-election?<1¢
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' listed names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
The absence of candidates from Labour, the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats, and the Greens has left Reform UK's Nigel Farage as the clear frontrunner in the Clacton by-election, with novelty candidate Count Binface positioned as the most visible alternative among a record 34 entrants dominated by independents and fringe parties. Media focus on Binface as a unity or protest option, combined with his established profile from prior contests, has driven the market's strong consensus on his second-place prospects. Other listed independents and minor-party figures remain at far lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited name recognition and organizational support. Outcomes could shift only if one of the lesser-known entrants unexpectedly consolidates protest or novelty votes on polling day.