- ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?>99¢>99%
OpenAI has reported multiple incidents in early November 2026, including elevated errors affecting logins, ChatGPT features, and API calls on November 11 that resolved within minutes, alongside an ongoing critical issue preventing new Workspace Agent runs. These align with a pattern of frequent but typically brief disruptions over the past 30 days, often limited to specific components rather than full platform availability. Traders monitoring ChatGPT reliability weigh OpenAI’s infrastructure scaling challenges against rapid mitigations, with no recent complete outages confirmed on the official status page. Upcoming developer updates or model releases could influence system stability, while competitive pressure from other large language models underscores the market’s focus on verifiable uptime thresholds.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.