A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Trader consensus strongly backs Flavio Bolsonaro to take first place in Acre during Brazil's presidential election first round, driven by the state's conservative electorate and repeated strong support for the Bolsonaro family in national contests. Acre's rural and evangelical voters have consistently prioritized security-focused and pro-agribusiness platforms in recent cycles, aligning with these positions. Low shares for alternatives such as Edmilson Costa and Lula underscore limited inroads by left-leaning or other challengers. Late national campaign shifts, coalition realignments, or turnout surprises in the final weeks could still alter local margins before the October vote.