Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of August 22
- Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?<1¢
- Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?13¢
- Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?<1¢
- Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?<1¢
- Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?<1¢
- Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?74¢
- Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?10¢
- Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?1¢
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 22, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” the Toy Story 5 tie-in single released in June, drives the 73.5% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot the week of August 22. Traders cite its sustained streaming gains, radio airplay across pop and country formats, and strong soundtrack synergy as key momentum factors following the film’s summer release. Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me” and “petal” from her new album, plus Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now,” register far lower odds after recent chart spikes that appear temporary amid heavier competition. The market reflects trader focus on Swift’s established multi-format hold versus newer releases still building consistent metrics ahead of the next tracking week.