ATP Tour
Y. Shimizu
Alibek Kachmazov- Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov50¢
- Set 2 Winner: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov51¢
- Shimizu vs. Kachmazov: Match O/U 22.551¢
- Set Handicap: Yuta Shimizu (-1.5) vs Alibek Kachmazov (+1.5)51¢
- Set Handicap: Alibek Kachmazov (-1.5) vs Yuta Shimizu (+1.5)51¢
- Set 1 Winner: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov50¢
- Yuta Shimizu vs. Alibek Kachmazov: Total Sets O/U 2.550¢
- Shimizu vs. Kachmazov: Match O/U 21.550¢
- Shimizu vs. Kachmazov: Match O/U 23.550¢
- Guangzhou, China, Qualifying: Completed Match: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov5¢
- Shimizu vs. Kachmazov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.551¢
- Shimizu vs. Kachmazov: Set 2 Games O/U 8.551¢
Alibek Kachmazov enters the Guangzhou Nansha Challenger qualifying match against Yuta Shimizu with strong recent momentum after claiming his first Challenger title in Wuning on October 11, defeating Jay Dylan Hara Friend in a three-set final. The 24-year-old Russian has compiled a 27-9 record in 2026, primarily on hard courts in China, while climbing from outside the top 500. Shimizu, ranked around 393, has posted inconsistent results on the Challenger circuit this fall, including early exits in Jingshan and other events. Both players compete on hard surfaces, where Kachmazov’s recent form, higher career-high ranking of 161, and success in the region contribute to trader consensus favoring him at roughly 63 percent implied probability. The outcome hinges on serve effectiveness and break-point conversion in this early qualifying round.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Alibek Kachmazov in the Guangzhou Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:20AM ET. This market will resolve to “Yuta Shimizu” if Yuta Shimizu wins set 2. It will resolve to “Alibek Kachmazov” if Alibek Kachmazov wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).