ATP Tour
T. Schoolkate
J. Cui- Guangzhou 2: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui65¢65%
- Game Spread: Tristan Schoolkate (-1.5) vs Jie Cui (+1.5)79¢79%
- Set 1 Winner: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui63¢63%
- Schoolkate vs. Cui: Match O/U 21.561¢61%
- Schoolkate vs. Cui: Match O/U 22.551¢51%
- Set 2 Winner: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui50¢50%
- Guangzhou 2: Completed Match: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui49¢49%
- Set Handicap: Tristan Schoolkate (-1.5) vs Jie Cui (+1.5)44¢44%
- Schoolkate vs. Cui: Match O/U 23.543¢43%
- Tristan Schoolkate vs. Jie Cui: Total Sets O/U 2.537¢37%
- Schoolkate vs. Cui: Set 1 Games O/U 8.584¢84%
- Schoolkate vs. Cui: Set 1 Games O/U 9.558¢58%
Tristan Schoolkate enters the Guangzhou Challenger semifinal as the higher-ranked player at No. 169 against Jie Cui at No. 448 on hard courts, with betting markets assigning him roughly 60% implied win probability. Schoolkate reached this stage after navigating early rounds including a three-set win over Sergey Fomin, while Cui advanced strongly as a wild card with straight-set victories over Yu Hsiou Hsu, Yibing Wu, and Akira Santillan. Cui maintains a 2-0 head-to-head edge from prior Wuxi Challenger meetings on the same surface, both in straight sets. Schoolkate’s greater overall experience on the tour and recent hard-court results underpin trader consensus, though Cui’s current momentum and home-event familiarity introduce upset potential in the best-of-three format.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Schoolkate and Jie Cui in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official Challenger statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).