ATP Tour
T. Paul
C. Alcaraz- Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz23¢23%
- Set 2 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz61¢61%
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 21.555¢55%
- Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz53¢53%
- Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Tommy Paul (+1.5)53¢53%
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 22.545¢45%
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Match O/U 23.540¢40%
- Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 2.537¢37%
- Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz32¢32%
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.575¢75%
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.574¢74%
- Paul vs. Alcaraz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.549¢49%
Carlos Alcaraz enters the Erste Bank Open quarterfinal against Tommy Paul with a 7-2 head-to-head edge, including straight-sets victories in their last six encounters and a recent U.S. Open win. Both players advanced through the round of 16 on indoor hard courts in Vienna, though Alcaraz saved multiple set points in a tight tiebreak against Nikoloz Basilashvili after a competitive opener versus Karen Khachanov. Paul recorded his 250th career win and produced dominant 6-1, 6-1 and 7-5, 6-2 results over Luciano Darderi and Andrey Rublev. The American has shown strong recent form on hard surfaces, reaching the Shanghai quarterfinals and Lyon semifinals, while Alcaraz continues building rhythm following an earlier wrist injury layoff. The indoor surface and Paul’s serve consistency represent the primary variables in this ATP 500 matchup.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).