This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Roberto Carballes Baena in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Jacob Fearnley. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jacob Fearnley enters the US Open qualifying first round as the higher-ranked player at world No. 107 and the No. 4 seed, facing No. 190 Roberto Carballes Baena on outdoor hard courts in New York. Fearnley holds a 1-0 head-to-head edge after a straight-sets win on clay in 2025 and brings stronger recent hard-court results, including wins over Mannarino and Ofner in Montreal qualifying plus a Newport Challenger title on grass. Carballes Baena, a 33-year-old clay specialist with limited hard-court success this season, sits at 22-21 overall for 2026 with just four wins in his last ten matches, the most recent a July loss in a Bonn Challenger. Trader consensus reflects Fearnley’s ranking, form edge, and surface suitability in a best-of-three match where the Briton is positioned as the clear favorite.