ATP Tour
S. Baez
T. Machac- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac18¢18%
- Set Handicap: Tomas Machac (-1.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+1.5)60¢60%
- Game Spread: Tomas Machac (-4.5) vs Sebastian Baez (+4.5)55¢55%
- Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Completed Match: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac54¢54%
- Set 2 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac50¢50%
- Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 22.549¢49%
- Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 23.549¢49%
- Baez vs. Machac: Match O/U 21.544¢44%
- Sebastian Baez vs. Tomas Machac: Total Sets O/U 2.532¢32%
- Set 1 Winner: Sebastian Baez vs Tomas Machac27¢27%
- Set Handicap: Sebastian Baez (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)11¢11%
- Baez vs. Machac: Set 1 Games O/U 9.549¢49%
Tomas Machac holds a 2-0 head-to-head edge over Sebastian Baez, including a straight-sets victory in their most recent clay meeting at the 2026 Barcelona Open. This indoor hard-court qualifying match at the Rolex Paris Masters favors Machac’s stronger hard-court record and recent form, highlighted by an efficient 6-4 6-3 win in his opening qualifying round against Martin Landaluce. Baez, currently ranked No. 49 to Machac’s No. 71, advanced past Damir Dzumhur but has posted inconsistent hard-court results this season and remains more effective on clay. Both players enter with mixed 2026 records, though trader consensus reflects Machac’s stylistic edge and prior success against Baez as the primary drivers of implied probabilities.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Sebastian Baez in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tomas Machac" if Tomas Machac wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sebastian Baez." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Tomas Machac can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sebastian Baez." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.