- Set 2 Winner: Baez vs Harris50¢
- Baez vs. Harris: Set 2 Games O/U 9.550¢
- Baez vs. Harris: Match O/U 23.545¢
- Baez vs. Harris: Set 2 Games O/U 8.550¢
- Baez vs. Harris: Set 1 Games O/U 8.566¢
- Baez vs. Harris: Set 2 Games O/U 10.550¢
- Baez vs. Harris: Set 1 Games O/U 10.539¢
- Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris60¢
- Cancun: Completed Match: Sebastian Baez vs Lloyd Harris50¢
- Baez vs. Harris: Match O/U 22.551¢
- Baez vs. Harris: Match O/U 21.557¢
- Set 1 Winner: Baez vs Harris54¢
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Lloyd Harris in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sebastian Baez, the top seed and higher-ranked player at No. 53, enters the Cancun Challenger semifinal against qualifier Lloyd Harris on the back of two straight-set wins, including a dominant 6-4 6-0 quarterfinal victory. Harris, ranked around No. 175, arrives on a 10-match winning streak and leads their head-to-head 1-0 after a straight-sets upset on hard courts at the 2025 US Open. The hard-court surface and Harris's recent form create a closely contested matchup, reflected in near-even implied probabilities on prediction markets, though Baez's seeding and in-tournament momentum provide a baseline edge in this ATP Challenger 125 semifinal.