- Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings99¢99%
- Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings<1¢<1%
- Will Carlos Alcaraz be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings<1¢<1%
Alexander Zverev has mathematically clinched the 2026 ATP year-end No. 1 ranking through a dominant season that included titles at the French Open and US Open, combined with Jannik Sinner’s long-term knee injury that ended his campaign after Wimbledon. This leaves Sinner unable to defend sufficient points from the closing tournaments, while Carlos Alcaraz’s own results and point totals fell short of catching Zverev after early exits like his Shanghai loss. The market’s overwhelming consensus around Zverev reflects this unassailable lead in the race standings, with the German positioned to finish atop the PIF ATP Rankings for the first time. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain limited to extraordinary circumstances such as official point revisions or withdrawals affecting final tallies before the November 23 cutoff.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026. If the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.