Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?<1¢
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.4%?<1¢
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?29¢
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?61¢
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?13¢
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?<1¢
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%?<1¢
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be at least 3.0%?<1¢
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Argentina’s monthly inflation has stabilized near 2% amid President Milei’s fiscal austerity and subsidy reductions, with July printing at 2.1% month-over-month—slightly above June’s 1.9%—while the year-over-year rate edged to 33.8%. Traders assign the highest implied probability (49%) to the 1.8-2.0% range for August, reflecting expectations that ongoing monetary restraint and subdued demand will keep sequential price growth contained near recent levels despite minor pressures from regulated prices and exchange-rate pass-through. The August CPI release, due in early September, remains the key near-term catalyst for any repricing around these market-implied odds.