Verstappen’s late-season resurgence, including a Singapore Grand Prix victory and consistent podium contention, has elevated him to the leading implied probability for second place in the 2026 drivers’ championship. With Antonelli holding a commanding lead at 340 points, the battle for runner-up sits among Verstappen (221), Russell (238), Hamilton (229), Leclerc (215), and Norris (201), where small margins and remaining rounds create volatility. Russell’s Mercedes teammate advantage and recent results keep him competitive in trader pricing, while Hamilton and Leclerc benefit from Ferrari pace but trail slightly. Norris and lower-probability drivers like Piastri face steeper gaps that recent form has not closed. The market reflects consensus on Verstappen’s momentum offsetting earlier deficits against the tight mid-pack group.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 2nd in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for second place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine final positions in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to finish 2nd in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.