- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro antes del 31 de agosto de 2026?3¢
- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro entre el 14 y el 20 de septiembre de 2026?2¢
- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro entre el 21 y el 27 de septiembre de 2026?6¢
- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo de Google Gemini Pro entre el 5 y el 11 de octubre de 2026?5¢
- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro entre el 19 y el 25 de octubre de 2026?<1¢
- ¿Será lanzado el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro entre el 26 de octubre y el 1 de noviembre de 2026?<1¢
- ¿No habrá un nuevo modelo de Google Gemini Pro lanzado antes del 1 de noviembre de 2026?45¢
- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro entre el 31 de agosto y el 6 de septiembre de 2026?4¢
- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro entre el 7 y el 13 de septiembre de 2026?6¢
- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro entre el 28 de septiembre y el 4 de octubre de 2026?5¢
- ¿Se lanzará el próximo modelo Google Gemini Pro entre el 12 de octubre y el 18 de octubre de 2026?6¢
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Google’s repeated delays to Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally slated for June after May I/O and still stuck in partner testing without a firm public release date as of late August—drive the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability of no Pro launch by November 1. Persistent shortfalls in coding benchmarks and agentic performance have prompted Google to prioritize frequent Flash iterations, such as the August 13 release of 3.7 Flash, while confirming pre-training has begun on the larger Gemini 4 frontier model. Traders see low single-digit odds for any specific September or October window because the company has offered no timeline commitments and continues listing 3.5 Pro as “coming soon” on official pages. No major developer events or earnings catalysts are imminent that would likely shift these probabilities quickly.