- ¿Estará el valor medio de una vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC entre $530,000 y $536,000 el 30 de septiembre?4¢
- ¿Estará el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC entre $512,000 y $518,000 el 30 de septiembre?28¢
- ¿El valor mediano de las viviendas en el área metropolitana de DC será al menos de $542,000 el 30 de septiembre?3¢
- ¿Será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC inferior a $512,000 el 30 de septiembre?12¢
- ¿Estará el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC entre $518,000 y $524,000 el 30 de septiembre?32¢
- ¿Estará el valor mediano de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC entre $524,000 y $530,000 el 30 de septiembre?11¢
- ¿Estará el valor medio de las viviendas en el área metropolitana de DC entre $536,000 y $542,000 el 30 de septiembre?4¢
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Recent data from sources like Zillow and Bright MLS show DC Metro home values and median sale prices holding relatively flat to slightly softer year-over-year amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4-6.6% and rising inventory from federal employment uncertainty. These factors have lengthened days on market and tempered buyer demand, supporting trader focus on the narrow $512K-$524K range where the two leading bins hold roughly 60% combined implied probability. Persistent rate-lock effects continue to constrain supply, while seasonal patterns and any late-August economic releases could influence final September 30 resolution within the closely contested bins.