- ¿Se promulgará como ley en 2026 la H.R. 22 (SAVE Act)?4¢4 %
Senate procedural requirements have consistently blocked H.R. 22 and related SAVE America Act versions despite House passage in 2025 and early 2026. Multiple Senate floor votes fell short of the 60 needed to overcome filibuster opposition, with the highest tally reaching only 53 and later attempts including amendments to appropriations and defense measures also failing. Key Republican senators joined Democrats in key procedural blocks, and leadership declined to schedule further debate given insufficient support. With the 119th Congress session nearing its end and midterms concluded, the narrow remaining window for enactment before year-end has reinforced trader expectations that the bill will not reach the president for signature in 2026. Late-session compromises or rule changes remain theoretically possible but face the same structural hurdles observed throughout the year.
Reglas
Este mercado se resolverá a favor de "Sí" si la Save Act (H.R.22) es aprobada por ambas cámaras del Congreso de EE. UU. y promulgada antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026, 23:59 ET. De lo contrario, este mercado se resolverá como "No". Las principales fuentes para la resolución de este mercado serán el registro legislativo de Congress.gov (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) y otra información oficial del Gobierno de Estados Unidos; no obstante, también podrá utilizarse el consenso de informaciones periodísticas fiables.
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