The by-election in Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton, called for December 7, 2026, after the resignation of independent MP Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay, centers on a contest between Bloc Québécois candidate Caroline Émond and Liberal candidate Chantal Soucy. Émond’s nomination in July 2026 highlighted her background in international trade, agriculture, and dairy policy, aligning with the riding’s agri-food economy and the party’s strong 2025 result near 44 percent. Soucy, a former CAQ MNA for the overlapping provincial riding who joined the Liberals in late October, brings local name recognition and legislative experience that has narrowed but not erased the Bloc’s projected lead in recent models. Conservative and NDP candidates trail further behind, with forecasts assigning the Bloc roughly two-thirds probability of victory based on historical patterns and current polling trends.
Actualmente está previsto que se celebre una elección parcial en el distrito electoral federal canadiense de Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton el 7 de diciembre de 2026. Este mercado se resolverá en función del candidato que gane la elección parcial de 2026 en Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot—Acton. Si los resultados electorales no se conocen con certeza para el 31 de diciembre de 2026 a las 23:59 ET, este mercado se resolverá con "Otro". La fuente de resolución de este mercado será un consenso de información periodística creíble. En caso de ambigüedad, este mercado se resolverá únicamente basándose en los resultados electorales oficiales publicados por Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
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